All Posts Tagged With: "market rally"


Why some banks are profiting in the recession

Jennifer McClelland | RSS | Mon, Jul 20 2009 | 0 Comments

market

Some of the country’s largest banks are posting unexpected and large profits. Why is it when the consumers of the nation are hurting that some banks are doing so well? After all, on Thursday JPMorgan announced a $2.7 billion second quarter profit, Goldman Sachs — $3.4 billion. These banks were both bailed out.

A large part of the jump in profits is due to an increase in underwriting. Companies that are looking to raise some money or refinance debt looked at the stock market rally in the second quarter as an opportunity and decided to look to investment banks for their business.

Separately, many financial companies were forced to raise additional capital during the second quarter. Banks and other lenders that accepted federal money under the Temporary Asset Relief Program (TARP) moved to return those funds to avoid additional oversight, but the government required that most of those firms raise additional capital before giving the money back. Those capital campaigns led to an increase in underwriting requests, particularly at Goldman and JPMorgan, Sprinzen says.

Companies go to investment banks asking for cash. The banks talk to clients such as pension funds or insurance companies to see if there is any interest among the companies in investing. If the fund or insurance company shows interest in the client, the company that needs the money gets a check and the bank gets the underwriting fee. This is what underwriting is and how the banks are profiting from it.

Right now, underwriting fees that banks are collecting are more than what they earned when the tech bubble was happening. This may be due to the fact there are a lot of companies that need to raise money and there has only been one real opportunity — when there was a short rally in the market. Not only did most companies get the cash that they had been wanting, but also got enough to last them through the rest of the year.

Banks are also making a lot from high trading revenues. The stock market has been on a crazy ride for the past few months. While people were trying to hop on the rally train in March — they were buying and selling very frequently during this time — banks were cashing in on the fees associated with trading. For JPMorgan Chase alone, trading principal transactions brought in $3.1 billion in revenue.

Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan don’t trade on exchanges; most of their trades are over the counter, which means if you want to enter into a trade or a swap, you call the bank to arrange it and they make a commission on the deal.

So, the banks are not exactly profiting from the recession, but from the small rallies that happen throughout.

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Economic Optimism

Michael Bowler | RSS | Tue, May 19 2009 | 0 Comments

stockrally

Word got around that the economy was showing the signs of revival. The optimism of the experts has quickly been reflected in the buying patterns of investors and the economy is beaming. Yesterday, the Dow Jones industrial average was at a 235 point high, the biggest daily point gain in over a month. This single handedly makes up for three-quarters of last week’s economic plateau and the losses that followed.

An incredible profit report from Lowe’s Company showed increased homebuilder sentiment and positive expert feedback throughout the last few weeks revived investors’ confidence in the impending economic rebound. Stocks began to fall sharply last week as worries that the stocks were rising too fast, reflected by a still low housing market, interrupted the market rally slightly last week, creating a self-fulfilled plateau that we seem to be exiting as buyer confidence is restored.

Analysts believe that stability in the housing market is important to restoring the economy, which will only happen when loan availability is restored and housing prices can go up due to higher demand. “There’s a realization that things are going to get better,” said James Cox, a managing partner at Harris Financial Group. “That’s the main theme of the market over the last couple weeks.”

Despite the recent rallies and yesterday’s upswing, the market is expected to remain volatile as more cautious investors see a rising tide in the economy and confidence is restored. They want to see signs that the economy is actually recovering and not just slowing another descent. So far, the rallies in the economy since March have shown enough signs of stabilization to attract some investors. According to Linda Duessel, equity market strategist at Federated Investors, the rally was driven by “less bad” information. “Probably we’ll get bored with that as the months progress,” she said. “We’ll need something better to move the market.”

There was an adequate boost yesterday as Lowe’s, one of the United States leaders in home improvement products, posted an 8.1% gain. Buying accelerated later as the National Association of Home Builders reflected that gain by reporting that May is beginning to reflect the second consecutive high month in the housing market index.

Banks are also doing well in the market right now. Bank of America posted a 9.9% gain. State Street rose 8.5%. Analysts say the ability for banks to raise money, especially by using the rallies in the stock market, is a sign of strength, albeit late, even if added shares make those already in circulation worth a bit less. Sometimes, apparently, less is more.

James Cox believes the banks are stable. “We’re not going to see any of the large banks go down. And now that we have stabilization in the banking system, we can move forward,” he said. Nine stocks rose for every single one that fell in Wall Street yesterday, a very confident boost. The dollar fell against all major currencies and gold prices also fell. As horrible as that sounds, the dollar has been significantly higher than normal, and gold prices have been the highest ever due to the desire of investors to find something a little more stable. It is very normal for gold prices to go up when the market is going down. They are not conversely related, but they do tend to have opposite trends.

Overseas stocks were mixed, mostly following weak corporate quarterly earnings in Asia. Japan tended to fall an average of 2.4%, Britain jumped 2.3%, and Germany and France both rose 2.4%. This seems to show more confidence in services and finances over technology and products.

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